No earlier finals pit them against each other yet this year—the head-to-head ledger starts with this one.

Derek Jeters sit at 2-4. They have scored 100 runs while allowing 146, so opponents have plated more against them than they have pushed across themselves. As a club they are hitting 0.500. Their five most recent posted finals read 2 wins and 3 losses. Their last game with a result went in the win column. In the AL, Derek Jeters sit 7th at 3.0 games back.

Paul Molitors post 4-2. Run differential is in the black: 129 plated against 79 allowed over the season. As a club they are hitting 0.626. In five-score games going back from today, they are 3 wins and 2 losses. They lost their last finished game. In the AL, Paul Molitors sit 3rd at 1.0 games back.

What we expect: Paul Molitors have the cleaner season line—wins, run margin, team average, and recent finals all tilt their way. Derek Jeters can still steal it with a big inning, but Paul Molitors look like the steadier bet to control the pace.

Not a real line; just a fan read.